Temer faces second indictment while in NYC
In the same week that President Temer meets President Trump in New York and opens the UN General Assembly, the House will formally receive a new indictment request against him sent by Prosecutor General Rodrigo Janot, who ended his term on Sunday. Janot has charged Temer with criminal conspiracy and obstruction of justice.
Bolstered by consistent economic indicators that show a slow, modest but apparently secure path away from the three-year recession that constituted Brazil’s worst in history, Temer will most likely command the necessary support in the House to resist the charge and thus ensure his survival until his term ends December 31, 2018.
But the procedures in the House to examine the charges will likely paralyze almost all other legislative initiatives for at least a few weeks, including crucial social security reform, considered the pillar of macroeconomic policies proposed by Finance Minister Henrique Meirelles to offer the country more enduring prospects for the mid- and long-term future.
Opposition to Temer has been proving itself unable to mobilize enough support to effectively threaten his government. Its most important leader, former President Lula, has himself suffered severe legal blows in recent days with a devastating deposition by former Finance Minister, Antonio Pallocci, in one of the now nine lawsuits in which Lula is a defendant.
Lula’s chances of running in and winning next year’s presidential election now seem even more remote than ever, offering Temer and his allies increased amplitude to act in their defense, although their situation is far from comfortable.
Several of Temer’s closest allies have also been indicted by the Prosecutor General and they do not enjoy the presidential privilege of having their case examined by Congress. If some of those aides decide to accept plea bargains with compromising testimony of evidence against Temer, he could see a significant worsening of his legal situation, thus endangering his own political future.
Nevertheless, the economy continues to improve, despite all the political turmoil, at least for the time being and the immediate future.More Testimonials